When dissolving the disk, even if the analysis is strictly in accordance with the three elements of “initial disk” and “annotated disk”, but once the “annotated changes” are ignored, it is often wrong to draw a conclusion. We had a similar mistake in the Chelsea v Southampton game. At the time, we first analyzed Chelsea’s game against Southampton and decided that bovada was the man to beat: “Chelsea’s recent performance in the league has been lacklustre and it was reversed against Newcastle in the last round. After Arsenal’s early success, the blues have little incentive to play in the league, especially after losing the first leg of their champions league semi-final to Monaco. Therefore, it is believed that there are not many punters who have high hopes for its performance in the league. Fortunately, the current round of opponents Southampton, after the recent escape from relegation, also has a drop in the battle, last round at home to bolton. As a result, the Chelsea still has more obvious advantages, the gaming companies or support for one and a half, or on its, let the ball surface choose half a plate of Macao, is slightly attractive despises the suspicion of the home, the note is likely to remain after one and a half, continue to make the home team is unable to make the appearance of the ball, then Chelsea win, but if directly to a ball by note, is bovada in intentionally arouse punters confidence in the home, Chelsea to win.” However, the game has changed a lot since then: a few hours before the game, bovada cut the set back to half, obviously his view of the game has changed, again in the low home team, and indeed Chelsea won the victory.
Another is the battle of freiburg and Hanover, this note down to a flat after half, we first combined with the two sides are determined bovada for the home team confidence: “because the two teams are similar, begin from the edge of relegation, but after the defense team performance by leaps and bounds, the previous stage has good performance, but in the relegation situation is good, the two teams are relaxed, the recent significant decline. Such two teams meet, home advantage is always not to be ignored, let alone the freiburg home fighting capacity is quite good, so in the eyes of most punters, the game home team win little suspense. But it is worth noting that gambling company is lack of confidence, for the home team while many gaming companies decided that it can only let the hemisphere, Macao also issue the quadrature in the compasses in hemisphere starting grids, this to bet on the home team is too good, the lure of freiburg suspicion is great, and the note directly down to a flat after half more means bovada is not optimistic about the home team, conclude that hannover guest war.” But the game also followed a significant change :bovada again down to a tie. Obviously, this technique is similar to the last game. In the same way, bovada’s latest opinion is to support the home team, and freiburg did win all three points.
In fact, it happened in the 2002-2003 season. In the analysis of AC milan’s away game against parma, we have made a general prediction for the change of this match because of the similarities between this game and that of Juventus and parma a few weeks ago. In contrast, AC milan, although narrowly beat Juventus, but the ability to play mediocre. Both in European odds and southeast Asian dish, support a tie plate, but open the visitors to macau’s gambling must draw/hemisphere large positions, are cast punters to footwall, after by the bovada is expected to see this dish to draw the disk, and punters must think AC milan so he can’t afford to let the ball, thus sought after parma, successfully bovada sucked to the footwall chip. Bovada used similar tactics against Juventus and parma against inter milan, so AC milan were left without a win. However, although this dish became even after the note, but then became even again/hemisphere, this time shows that bovada’s tendency has changed, from the initial luring lower set to luring upper set, the result of the game is naturally very different from the prediction made before.
The same is true for Juventus against torino in the same round. We also make the same inference about its usual variations: “a strange Derby, with Juventus at the top of the table and torino firmly at the bottom. Although Juventus lost to AC milan in the last round and torino won over perugia, the gap between the two teams is too wide to bridge. European odds suggest the home side will allow one goal/half a goal, while macau is offering a wide half-set. Rome, with the last round of piacenza dish is very similar, but the game of macau is small – ball tray, deliberately made despises Roman gesture, and this is want to create the illusion of the home team win, punters will naturally confident of upper plate, therefore Juventus is very difficult to win the game disc, Turin is expected to get one point.” The game was reduced to one goal/half goal after the betting, but then again to half ball, bovada’s likes and dislikes also changed fundamentally, and Juventus just won the game to win. It was similar to bologna’s shock draw with torino. For this game, we draw the conclusion that bologna wins according to the early set: “bologna home performance is outstanding, torino this season has no ‘bulls’ style, in terms of strength, the home team let a ball is more reasonable, from the surface, the hemisphere/ball seems to lure on the suspicion. But after the winter song period, the state of bologna has no, Turin state has rebounded, the two relative, let people have the intention of bo leng, bovada again opened a small set of mouth, posing as bait on the table, will lead to the chips on the next set, Turin will become hot, so bologna win when no doubt. According to my inference, after the official betting, if bovada further lures the game, it should be lowered to the hemisphere set, indicating that bologna can not afford the ball, leading the punter to chase after the lower set, but bovada after the official betting, actually rose to a ball set, indicating that bovada is creating the atmosphere of bologna must win, is already luring the upper set.
According to the above games, it can be seen that the changes of bovada’s dish mouth are regular to some extent, and some unconventional changes often indicate that bovada’s psychology has changed, and the judgment of the trend of the game has also changed greatly. When we make a prediction, we usually only make a prediction based on its generality, and underestimate the change in special circumstances. It is not surprising that we make a wrong judgment. Therefore, when judging the changes after injection, we should pay attention to the prevention of disc mouth mutation on the basis of analysis-generality.
Of course, in the same round, our accurate judgment of the two bundesliga matches just shows that the result can be successfully predicted according to the general rule of the changes of the dish after being annotated when the dish is not suddenly changed. First up is leverkusen v hertha Berlin. “Bayer leverkusen’s rebound was clearly not as strong as kaiserslautern’s, and the team lost confidence again after the disastrous defeat to bayern Munich; Hertha Berlin’s strength, state is obviously better than the opponent. Regarding this game, the southeast Asia aspect has given the host team to let the tie/hemisphere the plate mouth, supports the host team to win, but the Macao gambling has given out the small even set, both looks down upon the bayer leverkusen, also creates under the host team illusion. Expected to rise to a tie/hemisphere after the bet for the home team further obstacles, so leverkusen win. After the note the dish mouth indeed turns to draw/hemisphere, then even rises to the hemisphere dish, the result leverkusen big victory opponent.
Then there’s rostov v wolfsburg. “Rostock’s ability to win games at home is not good, while wolfsburg have been in a steady state of play recently, scoring all three points at home and securing a draw away from home. Macao’s opening set is obviously too big, Europe and Indonesia are optimistic about the home team to let the tie/hemisphere, but because wolfsburg rarely win away, if Macao opened a normal power set, there will be many punters to lose half to win, so choose the last set rostock. Macao didn’t get the disk shows that the choice of don’t want punters hansa rostock, and drawn a hemisphere after-hours, due to the wolfsburg consecutive draw two games on the road, want to come no one dared to choose home record average rostock, by the note after this dish is likely to fall for the draw/hemisphere, causing the appearance of the visiting team of popularity, therefore the rostock win.” This dish mouth is sure as expected after the note drops to draw/hemisphere, face home team also indeed all take 3 points.
This shows, if want to solve dish success, 3 element are short of cannot. Especially in the Europa league in the end, the bovada for every game is very cautious, view of the game early formation, not usually this means there will be a bigger change, after a note so that the analysis of the starting grids and the plate after injection, also have to take more attention to the change of the note after, combine the three elements analysis, to understand the bovada ultimately true intentions.